Introduction
Many people have had similar visions of the
future whereby people will have access to vast
amounts of information via an enormous
world-wide network. While this vision is quite
compelling, the question arises, "what's holding
things up?" The answer appears to be that the
technology to implement this vision exists today;
however, it will take a great deal of effort to
pull it off and no organization appears to have
stepped up to the task. The overall goal of this
paper is to convince you that electronic publishing
is both feasible and desirable.
This paper breaks with the tradition of discussing
related works first and defers such discussions
until after the proposed system has been thoroughly
presented. The overall electronic publishing
architecture is presented first, followed by a
fairly detailed discussion of each component.
The Electronic Publishing Architecture
The basic proposed electronic publishing
architecture is shown in the figure below:
The electronic publishing architecture consists of
five basic components:
-
Repositories
-
A repository contains information to be
shared. It is anticipated that there will
be a variety of repositories providing
differing service levels (e.g. faster access,
greater availability via duplication,
differing storage costs, etc.) Indeed, it
does not take too much imagination to
visualize repository services competing
amongst one another for customers.
Information fetched from a repository
incurs a combination of access and royalty
fees.
-
The network
-
The network is simply the existing world-wide
telephone/information network. This network
already has the ability to support an enormous
number of simultaneous point-to-point
connections that can be established and broken
on short notice. In general, the cost of a
connection is roughly proportional to the
distance traversed. Over time, the network will
evolve from a system that is primarily geared
to providing point-to-point voice circuits into
a system that provides higher bandwidth
point-to-point digital connections. The network
already has multiple vendors vying for customers
for long haul services.
-
Caches
-
A cache is located relatively close to a number
of users and its primary purpose is to reduce
communication costs. A cache reduces
communication costs by permitting a number
of users to multiplex information across a
relatively more expensive connection between
itself and a repository. In addition, commonly
accessed information is cached locally, thereby
eliminating the cost and delay of repeatedly
accessing it from the repository. As with both
the repository and network, a user may have the
option of selecting amongst several competing
cache service providers.
-
Viewer
-
There is one viewer per user of the system; it
is a PC-class computer with keyboard, display,
pointing-device (i.e. mouse), primary memory
(i.e. RAM) secondary memory (i.e. disk), and
a network connection (i.e. modem.) In addition,
a viewer may have other I/O capabilities (e.g.
microphone, speaker, image scanner, printer etc.)
The viewer software also provides the ability
for people to author information for publication
in a repository. Again, users will be able to
purchase viewers with differing capabilities
on the open market; for bootstrapping purposes,
the first viewer software will have to be
essentially free.
-
Banks
-
A bank is used to both store and exchange
money between users on the network. Again,
there may be more than one bank, the only
requirement is any two users who want to
exchange money mutually agree on a bank to
broker the money exchange.
There is a great deal of competition built into this
architecture to both reduce costs, improve service,
and increase innovation.
Paper vs. Electronic Publishing
The economics of electronic publishing are not an
obvious win over paper publishing. The goal of this
section is to provide a realistic comparison of
electronic publishing versus paper publishing.
The way that paper publishing currently works is
as follows:
-
An author writes some material and submits
it to a number of publishers to see whether
they are interested in publishing the material.
While authors with established track records
are actively solicited by publishers, new
authors are typically presented with a slew
of rejections slips. While a new author can
choose to self-publish, the large established
publishers have already developed the channels
for efficiently distributing material that
they publish.
-
A publisher reviews the submitted material
and decides which material to publish.
Publication contracts are signed with the
authors that specify the royalty amounts.
-
The material is prepared for production; this
includes entering it into a machine,
proof-reading, editing, etc.
-
The material is printed on printing presses.
The material costs are quite simply paper and
ink, neither of which cost very much in the
quantities that a publisher purchases them in.
The material cost of a thick paperback book is
probably less than $.25.
-
The books are warehoused prior to distribution.
-
Retail stores place orders for books, the
orders are assembled into a single shipment
and transported to the retail store. While
paper is quite dense, the transportation costs
are quite minimal as well. In the area of
book-stores, the B. Dalton and Walden bookstore
chains are beginning to dominate retail
distribution of books, particularly in shopping
malls. These two chains add an extra level of
warehousing and distribution.
-
The retail store places the books on the shelves
(usually for list price.) The retail store has
to have enough mark-up on the book to pay both
salaries and store rental fees and still have
enough left over for profits and taxes.
-
A customer browses the shelves looking for
interesting books and purchases the ones that
look interesting. If the customer pays by
credit card, roughly 1% of book cost goes to
the credit card company.
-
For paperback books, any books which do not sell
have there front covers ripped off and returned
to the publisher for a refund; the rest of the
book is disposed of, since it is not worth the
hassle of transporting it back to the publisher.
Thus, costs of paper publishing can be roughly broken
into:
-
Material previewing
-
Preproduction costs (i.e. editing, advertising,
etc.)
-
Material costs (i.e. paper & ink)
-
Capitol costs (i.e. printing presses,
warehouses, office buildings)
-
Transportation costs
-
Channel costs (i.e. retail mark-up)
-
Royalties
-
Profits
Given that a typical paperback book currently costs
approximately $5.00 and both the material and
transportation costs are quite low, there is sufficient
money left over to pay for the rest of the costs. The
paper publishing model has been finely honed over the
centuries and will not be easily displaced by electronic
publishing. Luckily, it is not the immediate goal of
electronic publishing to displace paper publishing;
instead, the goal is to provide a viable alternative
to paper publishing.
Electronic publishing works as follows:
-
The author writes some original material.
-
The author chooses a repository to store
the material in and self-publishes it. The
author selects the royalty rate to be charged.
The repository cost for storing the amount of
material in a thick paperback book is pretty
minuscule. There is a tension between the
author wanting charge a high royalty rate and
the users wanting to pay as low a royalty rate
as possible.
-
The material is entered into a variety of
indices (i.e. author, title, subject, etc.)
The author submits the material to critics
for review in an attempt to get the word out
that their material is worth reading.
-
A user browses indices and/or review columns
and follows a hypertext link start reading the
author's published material. If the material
is interesting, the user will read it in its
entirety and the author will collect a complete
royalty; otherwise, partially read material only
results in partial royalty payment.
-
The user may choose to print out their own
personal copy that is both more portable and
probably easier to read.
The costs of electronic publishing can be roughly
broken into:
-
Capital costs (i.e. repository/cache/user/bank
equipment, phone system)
-
Communication costs (i.e. user-cache and
cache-repository phone bills)
-
Usage fees (i.e. connection fees, access
fees, etc.)
-
Author royalties
-
Transaction fees (i.e. check processing
fees)
-
Profits (i.e. cache profits, repository profits,
bank profits, phone company profits, etc.)
-
Optional local printing costs
While it is quite possible that a user will be able
to read a book for less than the cost of purchasing
the same book in a bookstore, only the most voracious
readers will be able to save enough money reading
electronically published material to entirely offset
the current cost of a PC; instead, electronic
publishing will initially appeal to those people
who have already purchased a PC for other reasons.
Paper publishing differs from electronic publishing
in the following additional areas:
-
While most people do not realize it,
publishers are really doing everybody a
service when they reject the vast amount
of material they are asked to publish.
Thus, by only publishing on the best
material that they receive, publishers
are screening their customers from a great
deal of poor material. Electronic publishing
runs the very real risk of burying its
potential users in a vast sea of low
quality material. If electronic publishing
does not find a mechanism for ensuring that
most users spend most of their time reading
high quality material, electronic publishing
is likely to fail.
-
A paperback book is low-power, low-weight,
compact, portable, and easy to read. The best
portable computers still have not caught up
to the paperback book. Portable computers
still have to make substantial improvements
in weight reduction and display quality to catch
up to the standard provided by a paperback book.
While non-portable computers can have a vastly
improved displays over portable computers,
spending hours reading in front of a computer
screen is still likely to be less comfortable
than snuggling into one's favorite reading
chair for the same number of hours.
-
Paper publishing has been around for
centuries, whereas electronic publishing
has not. There is always resistance to change.
Indeed, some publishing houses may legitimately
conclude that it is in their own self-interest
to actively oppose the adoption of electronic
publishing. In addition, initially electronic
publishing will contain a fairly limited amount
of information, thereby limiting the number of
users interested in using it.
-
Electronic publishing can provide immediate
access to vast amounts of information that no
paper bookstore ever hope to provide. For
material that is in the electronic library,
a user will be able to access it in far less
time than taking a trip to a library and/or
bookstore.
-
People who purchase paper books have the problem
of deciding how to store and access their books
in the future. Many people have concluded that
storing books is not worth the hassle and resell,
give away, or dispose of their books after they
have read them the first time. Book storage is
ot an issue with electronic publishing, since
all material is accessible at all times.
Obviously, both forms of publishing have both advantages
and disadvantages over the other.
Electronic Publication Legal Issues
In the United states, the following legal issues
surround electronic publication:
-
Common-carrier vs. broadcast law.
-
Currently, there are two broad categories of
law concerning communication - broadcast and
common carrier (point-to-point) law. Examples
of broadcast communication are book publication,
newspapers, radio, and television; similarly,
examples of common carrier communication are
the mail system, air freight system and telephone
system. For broadcast communication, the laws
hold the broadcaster entirely responsible for the
content. For common carrier, the law attempts to
ensure the privacy of the communication (i.e. the
phone company is strictly disallowed from listening
in on a conversation without a court order.)
Despite the fact that electronic publishing
is not a very good fit for either common
carrier or broadcast law, the legal system will
attempt to apply these laws to electronic
publishing. Ultimately, new laws will be needed
to deal with the legal issues that are unique
to electronic publishing.
Interstate commerce and banking laws.
-
Since electronic publishing requires the use of
electronic banking for royalty and service
payments, the federal and state laws concerning
interstate commerce and banking are applicable
to electronic publishing.
Copyright law.
-
Copyrighted information can be
stored in a repository. However, since copyrights
disallow either electronic storage or copying,
a waiver is required to allow the repository to
electronically store and distribute the
copyrighted information. Non-copyrighted material
(i.e. public domain) may also be stored in the
repository without requiring a waiver. Whenever
a court of law determines that a copyright has
been infringed upon, the repository must be
prepared to follow court instructions which are
likely to require removal and/or royalty
reassignment.
Libel law.
-
All information that is stored in
a repository must have someone who is responsible
for its content in the event of a libel suit.
Some repositories will act as publishers and
bear full responsibility and other repositories
will require that the authors bear the full
content responsibility. In the event of a libel
suit, it must be unambiguous whether to sue the
repository or author. Whenever a court of law
determines that information is slanderous,
the repository must be prepared to follow the
directions of the court, which will frequently
insist upon removal, public retraction, and/or
damages.
Even though an author and repository may have
mutually agreed that the author has sole
responsibility for some published information,
a court of law is not legally bound to accept
such an agreement. Indeed, it is quite likely
that plaintiff's lawyer will decide to sue both
the author and repository for damages in a libel
suit. Unfortunately, it is quite likely that
some jury will eventually find the repository
at fault and thereby establish case law that
repositories are always responsible for their
content, irrespective of any mutual desire
between the repository and the author to
exclusively assign content responsibility to
the author. It is quite likely that legislative
action will be necessary override any such case
law.
Community standards.
-
Historically, the United States has permitted
communities to exercise some control over the
information that is published in the community,
primarily in the areas of pornography and
religious beliefs. Since the telephone network
is world-wide, it will be very difficult to
identify any world-wide community standard.
However, there needs to be a mechanism for
organizations and/or communities to identify
information that is unacceptable. For example,
parents should be able to restrict and/or disallow
their children's access to material that the
parent deems inappropriate.
How the legal issues surrounding repositories are
eventually resolved in the courts will have major
ramifications as to how successful electronic publishing
eventually is.
Political Issues
Electronic publishing is likely to annoy and/or
threaten existing publication channels. These channels
are likely to exert significant resources to impede
and/or stop the viability of electronic publishing.
Two examples where existing industries expended
significant effort to impede a new technology are
the movie industry's resistance to television and
the recording industry's resistance to digital audio
tape (DAT); for these two examples, television
ultimately established a synergistic relationship
with the movies and digital audio tape has yet to
gain a significant foothold in the United States.
One of the most effective strategies to reduce the
political risks associated with electronic publishing
is identify those organizations that are likely to be
threatened by electronic publishing and work with them
to address their concerns with electronic publishing.
For example, it may be possible to convince the
newspaper industry that electronic publishing might
provide an extra source of income if the newspaper
is electronically published in addition to being
printed on paper. As another example, the audio
recording industry might be able to distribute samples
of music via electronic publishing and thereby increase
overall music sales.
In these days of political action committees and
special interest group lobbying in Washington, it
is naive to think that a new technology such as
electronic publishing is going to survive a concerted
attempt by any special interest groups interested in
its early demise without a significant counter effort
to protect it. Any organization that undertakes to
push electronic publishing forward must be equally
prepared to undertake the political battles that
will ensue in Washington.
Will Electronic Publishing Actually Happen?
Is it likely that electronic publishing will happen?
People who are already predisposed towards electronic
publishing will conclude that electronic publishing
is the wave of the future and entirely replace paper
publishing in short order; conversely, people are
predisposed the other way, will conclude that electronic
publishing does not have a chance and is not worthy of
further consideration. Neither of these extremes is
likely; instead, electronic publishing is more likely
to be adopted gradually. Electronic publishing's first
users will be out-right enthusiasts, followed by a
core of professionals (e.g. engineers, doctors,
scientists, etc.) needing access to material that is
usually only found in university libraries, followed
by public library users, etc. It is likely to be a
long time, if ever, before electronic publishing is
actively competing with paper bookstores.
A useful analogy for the adoption of electronic
publishing is to think back about the adoption of
he personal computer. The original personal computers
(e.g. the Apple II) was quite primitive; it had a
lousy keyboard (upper-case only), lousy display
(a television), lousy storage (a cassette deck),
a lousy processor (an 8-bit 6502), limited memory
(less than 8KB), and was quite expensive as well.
Initially personal computers were only used by
enthusiasts, followed by early adopters in the
business community (e.g. VisiCalc users), and
eventually over time, the personal computer has
evolved into an indispensable tool used by business
and industry. It seems likely that electronic
publishing will follow some sort of quirky path
to general acceptance as did the personal computer.
You may read the next chapter discussing
viewer software or return to the
table of contents.
Copyright 1992-1995
Wayne C. Gramlich All rights reserved.